Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 217.882059 262.080283 317.203017 392.629789 495.873348 636.639345 8.515669e+02
2025-02-02 178.640912 236.455422 319.861993 456.312469 690.993889 1119.771046 2.102837e+03
2025-02-09 144.422371 201.204184 290.023888 451.787407 775.494978 1513.908477 3.988362e+03
2025-02-16 124.810679 180.841947 274.242080 460.159620 886.003510 2098.641757 8.622104e+03
2025-02-23 110.665190 165.394556 261.422619 467.424489 1000.200872 2897.260123 2.212941e+04
2025-03-02 100.615765 154.512834 253.499888 481.081131 1144.424583 4171.563741 9.422745e+04
2025-03-09 91.866876 144.201309 243.982948 487.260166 1276.724340 5917.369601 1.583279e+06
2025-03-16 82.662047 131.590537 227.173416 469.511568 1317.156884 7393.182119 NaN
2025-03-23 78.460471 127.601923 227.257558 496.026435 1560.858668 12738.900761 NaN
2025-03-30 71.122660 116.637583 210.308668 469.309402 1550.815971 15223.523854 NaN
2025-04-06 66.999221 111.442038 205.239332 476.079200 1719.693952 24875.487511 NaN
2025-04-13 62.878408 105.758129 198.081479 474.183294 1848.061907 39921.388922 NaN
2025-04-20 61.553833 106.076108 206.260546 530.789858 2496.003435 246129.613080 NaN
2025-04-27 61.488788 109.113336 222.250029 628.483350 3903.031427 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 57.333653 102.732515 212.566393 621.356869 4301.061715 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 54.350017 98.566923 208.010025 634.474730 5097.655982 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 51.634770 94.671871 203.442119 645.896711 6038.345322 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 49.459211 91.751462 201.078889 667.462246 7495.544306 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 47.191348 88.359955 196.717089 677.259827 8959.906710 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 44.281671 83.174864 186.177648 649.184528 9123.144603 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 43.138249 82.084245 187.887061 691.202366 12796.111930 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 40.404415 76.907252 176.136540 648.865925 12103.710116 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 38.915613 74.642942 173.249290 659.549366 14872.819149 NaN NaN